New Delhi: Charting the course of the pandemic during the coming months is likely to involve a more traditional winter nuisance: the flu.
As countries from Italy to Canada lift restrictions, travel resumes and colder temperatures set in, influenza will probably start circulating as well. That’s after measures to thwart COVID-19 such as masks and ventilation kept the flu at bay for the past year and a half.
Efforts have already been under way to lessen the potential strain on health systems dealing with both illnesses. A UK study released showed that it’s safe for people to get Covid and flu shots at the same time, which might help increase vaccine uptake and cut down on appointments as the country rolls out booster doses.
“This is a real concern for policy makers,” Neil Ferguson, the Imperial College epidemiologist whose models are used by the UK government, said at a conference in Paris. “It’s highly likely we will continue to see circulation of reasonably high levels of Covid through the winter, and having seasonal flu on top could pose again significant additional burdens on health systems.”
Ferguson and others at the meeting said vaccination in rich countries means there probably won’t be a surge in deaths from the coronavirus, but that waning protection from those shots and other factors could still mean plenty of people end up in the hospital. Meanwhile, flu immunity may also have diminished among the general population after two winters with few cases, according to Arnaud Fontanet, an epidemiologist who advises the French government.
Concern about withering Covid protection prompted Israel — one of the first countries to start vaccinating early in the year — to begin administering booster shots months ago.
“It was pretty striking for us to see early on that a majority of our severe cases were among fully vaccinated individuals,” said Ran Balicer of Israel’s Clalit Research Institute.
Britain began offering boosters to people age 50 and over and other vulnerable groups last month. Giving flu shots at the same appointment would make it easier for both patients and the health service, said Rajeka Lazarus, a consultant in infectious diseases and microbiology and chief investigator for the UK report released.AGENCIES